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Introduction

Urgency of a theme of research

The Russia which have occurred in economy for the last years izyomenenija have revealed a number of debatable and actual problems, noyosjashchih theoretical both applied character and having chrezvyyochajno great value for stable functioning and development of agrarian sector of economy.

To priority probleyomam questions of the theory, methodology and practice prinjayotija administrative decisions in the conditions of risk and neopredelennoyosti concern.

Market orientation of agrarian sector more and more trebuyoet from economic chiefs of ability to see prospects, to make effective strategic administrative decisions in the developed risky conditions of managing. More toyogo, proceeding agrarian crisis, weak state support, growth of instability of conditions of the enterprise activity, specific features of the most rural hoyozjajstva objectively require the account of risk factors and neopredeyolennosti in enterprise activity on village.

Besides, with the purposes of stability maintenance funktsioyonirovanija rural enterprise structures in izmenjajuyoshchihsja, uncertain conditions of managing observance and use of main principles strategicheyoskogo the management which realisation should be carried out, first of all, through acceptance effective administrative reyosheny, based on the system approach, the analysis external is necessary and

The internal factors expressly or by implication influencing on dejayotelnost of the enterprise.

Thereupon the role of conceptual and practically significant workings out on problems of acceptance of administrative decisions with allowance for risk factors and neopredeyolennosti essentially increases.

Degree of a readiness of a problem

In the domestic literature owing to a number objective priyochin defect of theoretical and methodological works concerning administrative decisions in the conditions of risk and uncertainty is felt. Meanwhile in the western countries with the developed market relations there are specialised magazines on decision-making in the conditions of risk, is periodically manufactured and free of charge the literature with the specific proposals extends among rural tovayoroproizvoditelej, allowing to raise efficiency of functioning of the enterprise in the conditions of risky managing. More toyogo, recently in many developed countries the problem risyoka and uncertainty of agrarian sphere is lifted on gosudarstyovennyj level. So, in the USA at the Ministry rural hozjajyostva the special department - Risk Management Agency, razyorabotavshy enough corresponding obuchajuyoshchih educational programs, to the majority from which imeyoetsja an easy approach on numerous WEB - sites is created.

At various times basic researches of domestic and foreign scientists were devoted to decision-making problems: M.Albert, V.P.Afanaseva, E.J.Vilkasa, N.N.VoYorobeva, J.Germejera, L.G.Evlanova, E.Lemana, R.D.Lyosa, J. Keynes, K.Marx, O.Morgenshterna, F.Knight, J. A background

Neumann, A.V.nelsona, L.Planketta, X. Rajfaa. J.R.Reljana, L.Sevidzha, G.Hejla, J. Hodzhes, etc.

In the decision of variety of problems on acceptance of administrative decisions in the conditions of risk and neopyoredelennosti works have the certain importance: D.Alain, A.P.Algina, J. AnYOdersona, P.Barri, I.T.Balabanov, I.P.smartly, V.A.VoznesenYoskogo, P.G.Grabovogo, S.I.Grjadova, V.I.Denisov, I.B.zagaj tova, A.P.Zadkova, O.Lang, V.D.Kamayev, A.P.Kurnosova, N.N.Moiseyev, V.V.

Rozena, R.I.Truhaeva, P.D.Polovinkina, B.A.Rajzberga, V.T.Sevruk, I.M.Surkova, E.A.Telegin »E.A.UtkiYona, etc. However many theoretical and methodological voyoprosy acceptances of administrative decisions in the agrarian sphere RosYOsii, functioning of enterprise structures considering risky character on village, remain maloissledoyovannymi and are poorly shined in the domestic economic literature. To the certificate alnost and an insufficient readiness of these problems have formed the basis for data realisation issleyodovanija.

The purpose and research problems

The purpose of the present research - working out kontseptualyonyh teoretiko-methodological and practical bases of acceptance of administrative decisions in the conditions of risk and the uncertainty, allowing to supply stable functioning predyoprinimatelskih struktu r in agrarian sphere.

According to an object in view following problems have been defined and solved:

- To open essence, the contents and structure strategicheyoskogo management, to reveal the basic problems and directions of acceptance of strategic administrative decisions;

- To reveal specificity of essence of risk and uncertainty in agriculture, to reveal the most effective management methods them;

- To study and generalise available methodical approaches to definition of criteria of decision-making with allowance for risk and uncertainty;

- To justify the indicators evaluating quality kriteriyoev from the point of view of a risk level at their long-term and kratkoyosrochnom application;

- To carry out the analysis of a state of the art agrarian sfeyory, to evaluate stability of separate elements proizvodstvenyonyh systems;

- To develop information system for avtomatizayotsii processes of modelling, realisation and the analysis of the received results of the decision of economic-mathematical problems;

- To evaluate methods of the applied theory of games degree priyogodnosti criteria of decision-making and to reveal most priyoemlemyj from them, depending on change economic sreyody developments of the enterprises of agrarian sphere;

- To define base optimum parametres funktsioyonirovanija the agricultural enterprises on a basis naiyoluchshego criterion of decision-making;

- To justify and offer ways of decrease in effect of risk and uncertainty on functioning selskohozjajstyovennyh the enterprises;

- To develop and recommend the basic actions considering a risk factor in planning and development gosuyodarstvennoj of an agrarian policy.

Subject and objects of research

Object of research are managerial processes by agrarian production in the conditions of risk and uncertainty.

Objects of research are the enterprises of various organizational-legal forms of business of agrarian sphere of region. More profound scientifically-methodical issleyodovanija have been conducted on an example of agrarian formations of Paninsky and Buturlinovsky areas of the Voronezh area.

Theoretical and methodological bases, empiricheyo

skaja base of research

As theoretical and methodological basis of research the fundamental concepts presented in truyodah domestic and foreign scientists, program and proyognoznye workings out of leading domestic scientists, gosudarstyovennyh governing bodies of agrarian and industrial complex of the Russian Federation and areas TSCHR, Decrees of the President and the governmental order of the Russian Federation, zakonodayotelnye, directive and normative statements have served.

In dissertational work are used abstraktnoyologichesky, monographic, statistiko-economic, ekoyonomiko-mathematical and other methods economic issleyodovany.

As empirical base of maintenance of reliability of conclusions and offers materials of Goskomstat of the Russian Federation have served. ministeryostva agriculture and the foodstuffs Russian FederaYOtsii, branch, regional bodies and institutes of management of agrarian and industrial complex, operative data, documents and the reporting selskohoyozjajstvennyh the enterprises of areas TSCHR.

Economic-mathematical problems of optimisation parametyorov agricultural production developments were realizoyo
vany on PEVM by means of developed by the author avtomatiziyorovannoj information system. At processing analiticheyoskogo a material and work registration packages priyokladnyh programs Microsoft Excel, Microsoft Word were applied, etc.

Scientific novelty of dissertational work consists in complex research and working out of the concept of management by the agricultural enterprises in the conditions of risk and neopyoredelennosti. Within the limits of this concept:

The essence, the contents and structure of strategic management are specified, the cores proyoblemy and directions of acceptance strategic upravlencheyoskih decisions are investigated;

Author's definition of a category of "risk" is made, classification signs of risks, osobennoyosti displays and managements by them in agrarian sphere are revealed;

The methodical approach to a qualitative and quantitative estimation of criteria of decision-making with ucheyotom risk and uncertainty is reasonable;

The indicators of the average and maximum risk evaluating quality of criteria at their long-term and short-term application are offered;

The information system is developed and approved, allowing to automate generation matriyotsy economic-mathematical problems, and also account and otsenyoku acceptabilities of criteria of decision-making;

Degree prig odnosti criteria of decision-making is evaluated and best of them depending on external and internal conditions of managing issledueyomyh the enterprises are revealed;

Optimum parametres funktsioniyorovanija the agricultural enterprises with allowance for fakyotorov risk and uncertainty are defined;

Ways of decrease in effect of risk and uncertainty on functioning selskohozjajstyovennyh the enterprises are offered;

The cores meroyoprijatija, considering a risk factor are developed and recommended at planning and development of the state agrarian policy.

The practical importance of work consists that the theoretical conclusions, the offered methods and the practical recommendations containing in the dissertation, can be ispolyozovany rural enterprise structures at priyonjatii administrative decisions in the conditions of risk and neopredelenyonosti, irrespective of patterns of ownership, an industrial direction and a site.

Dissertation materials are used in teaching of rates «Modelling of social and economic processes in agrarian and industrial complex», «Planning and forecasting in agrarian and industrial complex», «avtomatiziyorovannaja processing of the economic information». Separate positions and conceptual decisions of work are applicable in preyopodavanii and studying of rates «agrarian and industrial complex Management», «predpriniyomatelstvo in agrarian and industrial complex», «Financial management», and also in razyolichnyh special courses on improvement of professional skill rural predyoprinimatelej.

Work approbation.

The basic results of research at various stages were represented in scientific reports, recommendations and have received a positive estimation on international, All-Russia, a yard
Voice-frequency, interuniversity, high school scientifically-practical konyoferentsijah and the meetings which were conducted in Rejdinge (VelikoYObritanija), Washington (USA), Fort Kolinze (the State of Colorado, the USA), Alamose (the State of Colorado, the USA), Moscow, Sankt - Petersburg, Novosibirsk, Irkutsk, Voronezh, Novgorod, the Item Oskol, Michurinsk within the last ten years.

Separate positions of dissertational research were included into the textbook and manuals, methodical instructions and are used in educational process Voronezh gosudarstvenyonogo agrouniversity of K.D.Glinka.

Materials of researches of the competitor are used rukoyovoditeljami, main experts of the agricultural enterprises, and also managements of agriculture and prodoyovolstvija areas TSCHR that is confirmed with corresponding certificates and inquiries on introduction. Besides, there are rekomenyodatsii and recalls of leading experts of department of agriculture of the USA and the state university of staff KoloraYOdo (USA).

Some results of research were included into the scientific project «Management of economic risk in rural hozjajstyove» which became the finalist of the fifth competition scientific proekyotov, organised Moscow public scientific fonyodom with assistance of Ford's Fund.

For sharing in the collective monography «the Problem funkyotsionirovanija various forms of business in agrarian sphere» in 1998ã. The author of dissertation has been awarded by a gold medal of the All-Russia Exhibition Centre.

To the author as to the young scientist in the field of economy, poyostanovleniem.V?66 from 15.04.97 the Presidium of the Russian Academy of Sciences was prisuzhdeyona the State scientific grant on 1997-2000rr.

Publications. The basic results of research opubliyokovany in 67 works, including in seven monographies and books, total amount 127,2 items of l., from them the author's text - 44,6ï.ä.

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A source: KAMALJAN artak Kadzhikovich. ACCEPTANCE of ADMINISTRATIVE DECISIONS In the conditions of RISK And UNCERTAINTY. The DISSERTATION on competition of a scientific degree of the Doctor of Economics. Voronezh - 2000. 2000

More on topic Introduction:

  1. in introduction
  2. INTRODUCTION
  3. INTRODUCTION
  4. 10.1. Introduction
  5. INTRODUCTION
  6. approbation and introduction of results.
  7. Introduction
  8. Introduction
  9. INTRODUCTION
  10. INTRODUCTION
  11. Introduction
  12. Introduction
  13. INTRODUCTION
  14. Instead of Introduction …
  15. PRACTICAL INTRODUCTION OF RESULTS OF WORK
  16. 5. Attention strengthening to questions of legal introduction.
  17. Introduction
  18. Introduction
  19. Introduction