<<
>>

§ 3.8.1. Modelling of the modern and "indignant" dynamic indicators of a climate.

For a modern climate in vicinities of Kislovodsk following dynamic indicators are characteristic. Throughout a year the monthly average sum of deposits (fig. 116,) varies from minimum in January-March (less than 20 mm) to maximum in June (about 130 mm).

Sharp recession to the most minimum values in August and September (less than 10 mm), then lifting to 45 mm in October with the subsequent gradual reduction of quantity of deposits to the minimum values by December Further follows. Monthly average specific humidity of air thus varies not so in steps (fig. 116,), beginning from values in 3 g/kg in the first months of year, raising gradually to 9,5 g/kg in the middle of summer, and then again decreasing approximately to 3 g/kg by the autumn and winter. Thus it is necessary to notice, that August and September are characterised by the lowered humidity within 4-5 g/kg which then increases again in October to 6/kg

To normal distribution of the monthly average sums of temperatures of air at an earth surface (fig. 116,) is close. Since value in 270 with superfluous Celsius degrees in January, after a small cold snap they smoothly increase almost to 295°С in August which is the most hot month in a year, and then again smoothly decrease to 265°С. The monthly average module of speed of a wind in modern conditions practically does not change within a year (fig. 116,), having about 4,0-4,5 km/s, and only during the period from April till June it decreases to 2,5-3,5 km/s.

The created model of a microclimate in the Kislovodsk hollow allows to track dynamics of change of the basic climatic characteristics within a year at change of the global climate characterised by rise in temperature of Atlantic ocean approximately on 0,8°С (the "indignant" climate). It is characteristic, that thus some variables used in model sharply vary. So, the modelled monthly average sums of deposits (fig. 117,) decrease from January till March approximately to 10 mm, and their maximum quantity to 120 mm drops out in May, instead of in June as it occurs now. Then also the recession which minimum is necessary for July and August (less than 20 mm) follows. The same as and now, follows humidity increase in October, a little bolshee in comparison with modern conditions (over 60 mm), and then again there comes reduction of quantity of deposits to 20-30 mm.

Monthly average specific humidity of air as a whole undergoes minor alterations (fig. 117,), it decreases a little. Unlike modern conditions, in the beginning of year it possesses smaller indicators in 2 g/kg, then there is a sharp increase of humidity by June almost to 11 g/kg, that a little above modern data. Subsequently there comes not less sharp recession to 5-6 g/kg throughout July-November when humidity even more decreases, reaching value hardly more than 2 g/kg in December.

The monthly average sums of temperatures of air at an earth surface (fig. 117,), as well as in present conditions, have close to normal distribution, fluctuating from 260-270°С in January-March, gradually reaching peak in 295°С in August and as gradually decreasing to 265°С in December. However as a whole the climate looks warmer as values of the monthly average sums in 280°С and above keep throughout six months (from May till October inclusive), instead of five (from May till September inclusive) as it occurs now.

Undergoes change and the module of speed of a wind (fig. 117,). It has a maximum in January (5,5 km/s), then next four months keeps at level of 4,1-4,8 km/s, and throughout the second half of the year gradually decreases to 3,5-4,1 km/s. As a whole weather in modelled conditions looks more windy, than modern. It is necessary to notice, that at interpolation of indicators of annual dynamics of a climate on three-dimensional model of the Kislovodsk hollow the same as and in modern conditions, the basic changes come from southern borders of a hollow, from the Big Caucasian ridge.

Thus, climate dynamic characteristics show more damp and warm climatic conditions at the "indignant" model in comparison with the modern. We will try to track now a difference in models of the modern and "indignant" climatic conditions for set of studied objects.

<< | >>
A source: Korobov Dmitry Sergeevich. SYSTEM of MOVING ALAN of the CENTRAL Ciscaucasia In I THOUSAND AD (LANDSCAPE ARCHEOLOGY of the KISLOVODSK HOLLOW). VOLUME 1. The dissertation on competition of a scientific degree of the doctor of historical sciences. Moscow -. 2014

More on topic § 3.8.1. Modelling of the modern and "indignant" dynamic indicators of a climate.:

  1. § 3.8.3. Modelling of the "indignant" climatic conditions.
  2. subjects POV in a position "patriot" - "proponent" and "opponent" - "analyst"
  3. § 1. Genesis of terms "promise", "bribe" and "lihoimstvo" by the Russian right XIV-has begun XX centuries
  4. Teoretiko-legal research of a parity of concepts «the person,« the physical person, "citizen", "person", "individual", "Everyone"
  5. about the legal maintenance of concepts "protection", "protection", "preservation" and «steady use»
  6. §3. Formation of the investment program of Open Society "Mosenergo" on the basis of methods of economic-mathematical modelling
  7. efficiency indicators at a stage "Action"
  8. efficiency indicators at a stage "Interest"
  9. § 1. Concepts "subject" and "object" of the operating criminal legislation, judiciary practice, philosophy and jurisprudence
  10. 3.2. B.Akunina's project "Genres" - a collection of "pure" genre samples
  11. 3.2. Information support of acceptance of administrative decisions in a battalion "supply" oao "agromash-holding"
  12. 1.4.1. The typological characteristic of a modality through a prism filologiyocheskoj germenevtiki: opposition of concepts "value" and "sense"
  13. § 3.3 Justices of soul and justice of the policy in "State" and Platon's "Laws"
  14. § 1. "State" and "statehood": a problem of a terminological parity and definition
  15. § 1.1. Concept "abstract" both "concrete": philosophical and legal аспектні
  16. §2. Attempts of the "limited" and "full" internationalisation of the Cyprian conflict (1964-67)
  17. Definition of the price of the bargain on association of "Buyer" and "Object"
  18. § 1. Standard fastening of definition of concepts "interest" and"affilirovannost"