3.1 Methodical approach to strategic management of the noncommercial organisation with use of tools of preventive anti-recessionary management

the Considerable quantity of researchers under a category «management of the noncommercial organisation» in the conditions of negative influence of factors consider jet system of operating influences on structural elements of process of acceptance of administrative decisions.

it is unconditional, the given methodical approach considers recurrence of influence of factors internal and an environment ^[36] , however, according to the author, between speed of such influences and a cycle of adaptable changes in the noncommercial organisation direct dependence is observed: speed of influence in the conditions of turbulence increases, and life cycle of reaction of a control system is reduced to them. To results there can be a situation when in the course of response to negative influences control system NKO will cease to correspond to current realities and will lose the stability.

it is considered necessary for the decision of the designated contradictions to use the concept of anti-recessionary management in which basis the preventive approach is put. Application of tools of preventive anti-recessionary management is directed on maintenance of balance of interests of all participants of activity of the noncommercial organisation, that is an external environment and internal potential.

we Will consider the maintenance of the offered approach in a cut of its structural components (drawing 8).

to Management NKO with use of tools of preventive anti-recessionary management represents system of acceptance of administrative decisions on the basis of data file accumulation about reactions of object of management to operating influences of controls of the noncommercial organisation in which weak signals of deviations of real result of functioning of the managing subject from the wished are formed.

Use of tools of preventive anti-recessionary management - scanning of the external and internal environment is offered to be realised on the basis of the formula eksponentsialnogo smoothings ^[37] . In these the purposes we will agree with Ufimtseva A.A.'s opinion on expediency of application of two-parametrical model Holta ^[38] . The given approach is based on a combination eksponentsialnogo smoothing and evolutionary planning.

Drawing 8 - the Maintenance of preventive system of anti-recessionary management in the noncommercial organisation ³⁹

³⁹ It is constituted by the author.

Thus, the condition of the external and internal environment from positions of detection of weak signals about approaching crisis or negative influence of factors will be defined:

where Si - force of a signal i-adverse at the moment of the factor during the moment t+Ò, T - time of detection of weak signals, and #945; - smoothing parametre, Ft ⁽¹⁾ , Ft ⁽²⁾ - eksponentsialnye average sizes.

As a result of the continuous ordered tracking parametres of the external and internal environment it is necessary to define forces of cumulative influence of negative factors taking into account a combination of risk and uncertainty at a separate stage of life cycle of the noncommercial organisation during the certain period of time.

where RSv - cumulative size of force of a signal of the negative factor, Ri - level of influence of the certain negative factor, k - factor reflecting mutual influence of negative factors on a crisis condition of the noncommercial organisation as a whole, n - quantity of the negative factors affecting position of the organisation in the analyzed period.

the Offered algorithm of carrying out of scanning of the external and internal environment in system of preventive anti-recessionary management of the noncommercial organisation is resulted in drawing. 9.

the Basic advantages of offered model of management are:

- possibility of attraction of a wide range of subjects of management and participants of functioning NKO on the basis of balance of interests;

- possibility of formation of expert administrative systems of scanning of the external and internal environment taking into account higher informativnosti about negative factors;

- possibility of acceptance of administrative decisions on a basis

a trustworthy information about approaching crisis.

Drawing 9 - Offered algorithm of carrying out of scanning

the external and internal environment in system preventive anti-recessionary

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managements of the noncommercial organisation

40

It is constituted by the author.

According to the author, in conditions turbelentnosti for the noncommercial organisation the important problem is creation of model of the continuous ordered tracking the external and internal environment for development of the corresponding decisions directed or on strengthening positive consequence, or on easing of threats which is based on set of scientific approaches, theoretical bases of management and applied aspects of economic policy. Such methodical approach is way of management of the organisation with application of tools of preventive anti-recessionary management.

Leaning against researches of some economists in the field of modelling and forecasting of administrative systems, in the dissertation the model of management of the noncommercial organisation Public organisation «Association of businessmen of of the Eagle» in the conditions of the crisis environment on the basis of definition of external and internal signals about possible changes of a condition of the organisation is offered. An activity principal view is: consultation concerning financial intermediary. The organisation also carries out activity in following nonbasic directions: "Publishing", «the Edition of newspapers».

the Control system of the noncommercial organisation with application of tools of anti-recessionary management has difference from applied in enterprise structures the dual character.

it is unconditional, the estimation of business factors carries out the important role together with the analysis of social results which allow to estimate level of achievement of purposes NKO. Thereupon, the noncommercial organisations should use economic indicators for revealing of threats and the crisis phenomena. Bole that, taking into account complexities in financing questions rice fields of functioning of the noncommercial organisation are shown.

the Revealed external signals about possible changes of a condition Public organisation «Association of businessmen of of the Eagle» are resulted in table 9.

Table 9 - the Revealed external signals about possible changes of a condition Public organisation «Association of businessmen of of the Eagle»